PECOTA (Player Empirical Comparison and Optimization Test Algorithm) came out with their annual projections (hat-tip to Circling The Bases) and I'm pretty disappointed with where they have the Yankees.
(click to enlarge)If you were wondering, here's last year's.
This obviously doesn't mean the Yankees won't win the division, or the AL, or the World Series. I'm just wondering what PECOTA saw that caused them to predict a 3rd place finish for the Yanks. Could the loss of Matsui, Damon and Melky really have a bigger impact than the additions of Granderson, Vazquez, Johnson and Winn?
Here's the NL projections, they have the Mets finishing 4th at 77-85.
