When the Yankees open up the second half of the season on Friday, they'll do it with a three-game series against the American League Central-leading Tigers -- a series that, judging by New York's first-half performance, will probably get them off to a rocky start.Why?
Because the Yankees can't beat good teams. Or at least they haven't beaten good teams so far this season. After getting swept by the Angels to close the first half, the Yankees -- despite being 14 games over .500 at 51-37 -- are 2-12 against first-place teams, including an impossible-to-ignore 0-8 against the Red Sox.
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I still think the Yankees are a good -- if not very good -- bet to go deep into the postseason and win their 27th World Series, despite their previously poor showings against the cream of the MLB crop. Here's why:
1. They're going to be a playoff team. Can't win if you don't play, and the Yankees didn't play in October last year. This year, it's already almost a given that the AL East will get two teams in and, much as I love the Rays -- and I do think they're great -- they're going to be the hard-luck losers this year. When their pitching can't hold up through the summer, the Yankees will get just enough from their own arms and continue to hit well enough to earn the Wild Card. So, assuming the Yankees are in the playoffs ...
2. Their weaknesses become strengths. Here are the two areas that concern me most about the Yankees: The back of their rotation and their setup-man situation. In the regular season, these are legitimate issues. In the playoffs, though, the series are scheduled so that teams can use a four-man (and in some cases, three-man) rotation. That means CC Sabathia, A.J. Burnett or Andy Pettitte will get the ball nearly every night. In other words, no more Chien-Ming Wang or Chamberlain laboring through the third inning as the Yanks fall hopelessly behind.
Instead, Chamberlain can return to the bullpen and Wang ... well, Wang can do something assuming he's healthy, but it probably won't be anything too critical. Suddenly, the Yankees have a very live bridge to Mariano Rivera in Chamberlain, Phil Hughes and Alfredo Aceves, as well as the option to use Brian Bruney in key spots if he's early-season-dominant Bruney instead of more-recent-disaster Bruney. Either way, the Yankees' pitching situation is tailor-made for the postseason.
3. They have the horses. The Yankees can hit. In their 51 wins, they've averaged about seven runs a game, and there's no doubt that kind of offense can cover up a lot of mistakes. It's one of the reasons I'm so sure they'll make the playoffs; during the regular season, hitting can compensate for a lot....
4. They're hot and cold. Normally this would be a reason not to like the Yankees chances, but I mention it because I think Joe Girardi -- for all his flaws -- is starting to figure out which buttons to push with his players. It's hard to find tangible evidence of that (other than what you hear from some of the players) but there is this: The Yankees had lost nine of 13 games (and were losing again) on June 24 against the Braves when Girardi was ejected for vociferously arguing an umpire's call.
Then, as you know, the Yanks went on a roll before running into the Angels.
He concludes by saying that he likes "their chances to peak at just the right time."
My question to you is, do you feel the same way as Sam?
Me? Of course I do. As soon as Mark Teixeira signed I've thought this was the best Yankee team since 2003 and a handful of losses to the Red Sox are not going to change that, at least not yet.
It still is important that Joba and Pettitte get on track and Brian Bruney to regain his early season form, but in the end I do think the Yankees will be playing deep into October.
6 Comments:
Nothing would make me happier than to see Joba back in the bullpen BUT they are most likely not going to move Hughes since he is doing so well. Also right now they don't have a choice to move him out of the rotation being Wang is on the DL.
I do agree with what Sam said. I also thought when the Yankees got Teixeria it would boost them that much more.
Boston can beat us all they want in the regular season but it's the post-season what counts. We dominated Cleveland in 07 but in the post season the Yankees got their ass handed to them.
I agree with Sam I think the yanks are fine. The yanks are a historically a second half team. Teixeira, Sabathia and Burnett are all better in the second half. They have the best record in baseball since A-Rod return.
If they get Pettite, Joba and Bruney going they will beat out the red sox for the division. If those pitchers are still inconsistent they will still win the wild card.
Remember the yanks got nothing from Wang the first half of the season. Wang really killed the team. I actually thing Mitre will do a much better job than Wang did this year. So that will be another improvement in the 2nd half.
I've said it all along and I still firmly believe it: The Yankees are the best team in baseball. Yes, better than the Red Sox.
If the Yankees bullpen continues at this pace, then they can compete with anyone in the MLB.
The bullpen is the key.
-jorgesaysno
The Yankees were a historic 2nd half team with a different manager and set of established coaches. Who knows what direction this team is gonna go in if they can't beat big teams.
I think it all comes down to how well we are playing before the playoffs start. I'm not really worried about making the playoffs, we will either win the division or get the wild card. I feel if heading into the playoffs AJ and CC are in dominant form then we will win it all. We see it time and time again with postseason, its not always the best team its the taem that is playing the best that wins it all. We all know that having two dominant studs at the top of the rotation can put any team over the top.
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