Sunday, November 22, 2009

Sunday Night Open Thread: 2010 Projections

It's that time of year when 2010 projections are being released from various sources, so here are three sets along with some highlights for you to take a look at:

- Baseball Projections has the 2010 CHONE hitter projections.
  • Cano: .304/.341/.489, 19 HR, 83 RBI
  • Tex: 34 HR, 112 RBI
  • A-Rod: 34 HR, 106 RBI
  • Jeter: .295/.367/.425
- Fangraphs has Bill James's 2010 projections on each players' individual page. For example here's Jeter's page.
  • Jeter: 200 hits
  • A-Rod: .950 OPS
  • CC: 18-9, 3.40 ERA, 3.44 FIP
  • Joba: 11-8, 3.94 ERA
  • Burnett: 15-7, 3.75 ERA
  • Damon: .278/.355/.430, 17 HR, 70 RBI, 99 R
- Baseball Think Factory recently posted the Yankees 2010 ZiPS projections, which can be found at this link.
  • A-Rod: 141 OPS+
  • Matsui: 111 games, .277/.360/.454, 17 HR, 64 RBI, 119 OPS+
  • Jeter: .303/.372/.424
  • Tex: 112 RBI
  • Mariano Rivera: 3.18 ERA???
  • Joba Chamberlain ERA+: 107 | A.J. Burnett ERA+: 102
  • Pettitte's ERA+: 101
  • Damon: .272/.350/.436, 16 HR, 61 RBI, 18 SB, 87 R
Here's some projections from some of the big name free agents:
  • Jason Bay (ZiPS): .268/.368/.507, 32 HR, 110 RBI, 126 OPS+
  • Roy Halladay (Bill James): 17-10, 3.23 ERA, 3.25 FIP
  • Matt Holliday (Bill James): .318/.387/.545, 27 HR, 105 RBI
  • Matt Holliday (CHONE): .299/.376/.510, 26 HR, 98 RBI
  • John Lackey (Bill James): 13-10, 3.81 ERA, 3.84 FIP

Besides that enjoy the football game, Family Guy, or whatever else you're doing tonight.

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