My projections are based on player 3 year averages when applicable, how they are playing this spring, and adjusting to homer-friendly Yankee Stadium. (Granted all are based on full seasons)
Note: I did not include Runs scored because it is difficult to quantify while inserting new players.
Here they are:
Player | AVG | HR | RBI | OBP | SB |
Jeter | 0.315 | 15 | 63 | 0.388 | 20 |
Johnson | 0.280 | 12 | 65 | 0.43 | 1 |
Tex | 0.300 | 33 | 120 | 0.39 | 2 |
A-rod | 0.290 | 37 | 120 | 0.4 | 15 |
Cano | 0.310 | 20 | 80 | 0.35 | 4 |
Posada | 0.280 | 20 | 75 | 0.365 | 1 |
Granderson | 0.265 | 30 | 75 | 0.35 | 18 |
Swisher | 0.245 | 25 | 85 | 0.365 | 0 |
Gardner | 0.250 | 3 | 40 | 0.32 | 40 |
0.282 | 195 | 723 | 0.373 | 101 |
I tend to think these projections are conservative, but let's take a look.
The team average of .282 is solid. Home Runs with 195 are down from a season ago, but the projections do not add in production from bench players as well as late season call ups. The total amount of Runs Batted In worries me a bit, but you have to adjust for runs that are scored with no RBI, bench production, as well as late season call up production. OBP sitting at .373 is very solid as always with a patient Yankee line up. Finally stolen bases at 101 is higher than in past years because we are looking at a possible full season of Brett Gardner at the bottom of the order. If Gardner and perform at a measly .250 clip he will provide a dynamic bottom of the order presence that can cause a ruckus on the bases while solid situational hitters like Jeter and Johnson step the plate.
The Yankees took a hit losing Damon, Matsui, and Melky Cabrera's production, but they have adequately replaced them and the Yankee offense will be just fine. Keep in mind these projections are conservative and with a more solid pitching staff the Yankees are primed to be in contention for the AL East crown, and a deep run into October.