Wednesday, July 13, 2011

Revisiting the Better Know a Prospect Countdown

25. Dan Burawa
A - 44.2 IP, 36 H, 15 BB, 35 K, 3.63 ERA, 4.72 FIP
A+ - 3.2 IP, 4 H, 3 BB, 3 K, 9.82 ERA, 4.02 FIP

I was hoping he'd move a bit faster, but control issues and home runs have limited his effectiveness.

24. Eduardo Sosa
A - .282/.328/.389, 2 HR, 10 SB, 14 BB, 45 K

He looks like an ideal fourth outfielder - plus speed, above-average to plus glove, some pop ... he'll need to get on-base more, however.

23. Tommy Kahnle
A - 52.0 IP, 37 H, 34 BB, 68 K, 3.98 ERA, 2.80 FIP

If he can harness his fantastic stuff a bit more, he could be a light's out closer down the road.

22. Shaeffer Hall
AA - 95.2 IP, 114 H, 21 BB, 63 K, 4.05 ERA, 4.07 FIP
AAA - 6.1 IP, 5 H, 0 BB, 3 K, 2.84 ERA, 4.31 FIP

He'll live and die by BABIP, but he has the potential to be a fine fourth or fifth starter.

21. D.J. Mitchell
AAA - 98.1 IP, 91 H, 35 BB, 66 K, 3.20 ERA, 3.64 FIP

If Mitchell's improvements against left-handed hitters is legit, he could be a solid back of the rotation option.

20. Melky Mesa
A+ - .167/.412/.250, 0 HR, 1 SB, 3 BB, 4 K
AA - .204/.274/.367, 4 HR, 10 SB, 17 BB, 70 K

Regression across the board - nice.

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19. Brandon Laird
AAA - .272/.300/.423, 10 HR, 0 SB, 13 BB, 50 K

There are rumors circulating that Laird could see some time with the Yankees while Rodriguez is on the DL ... he hasn't exactly earned that shot, but he's improved as the season has progressed and it may be worth seeing what he can offer.

18. Cito Culver
A - .292/.350/.360, 0 HR, 2 SB, 9 BB, 20 K

Reviews on his glove have been mixed thus far, but most agree that his athleticism should lend itself to some fine glovework. I don't think he'll ever hit for much power, but the walks and high-contact rate are nice.

17. Brett Marshall
A+ - 94.2 IP, 96 H, 39 BB, 72 K, 4.18 ERA, 3.70 FIP

His stuff's not all the way back post-surgery, but he's performing ably thus far.

16. J.R. Murphy
A - .297/.343/.457, 6 HR, 2 SB, 19 BB, 38 K
A+ - .240/.259/.340, 0 HR, 0 SB, 2 BB, 4 K

Murphy raked for the better part of the first half, and the organization seems to have more confidence that he'll be able to stick behind the plate. I prefer Murphy to Romine at this juncture.

15. Jose Ramirez
A - 47.0 IP, 46 H, 18 BB, 49 K, 4.79 ERA, 4.39 FIP
A+ - 24.1 IP, 35 H, 11 BB, 25 K, 8.14 ERA, 4.23 FIP

He's striking people out ... when they're not hitting the ball out of the park.

14. Corban Joseph
AA - .288/.373/.450, 4 HR, 4 SB, 42 BB, 62 K

Joseph's a fine hitter, and he's hitting the gaps with more authority this season - but his defense at second remains an issue and he's limited to second or third. Perhaps a shift to the outfield is necessary.

13b. Ivan Nova
AAA - 7.2 IP, 6 H, 0 BB, 10 K, 2.35 ERA, 2.29 FIP
MLB - 91.2 IP, 98 H, 37 BB, 51 K, 4.12 ERA, 4.43 FIP

Nova performed admirably at the back of the Yankees rotation, but he needs to work on command and control (and picking up some swings and misses, to boot).

13a. Eduardo Nunez
MLB - .279/.318/.434, 3 HR, 10 SB, 7 BB, 9 K

He's hit and run well enough to be a fine utility infielder ... but the glove has left a great deal to be desired - a conclusion supported by both the eye and advanced metrics such as DRS and UZR.

12. David Adams
R - .516/.543/.710, 0 HR, 2 SB, 2 BB, 6 K
A+ - .500/.500/.500, 0 HR, 0 SB, 0 BB, 0 K

I wish he could stay healthy - he's only played 11 games thus far, and he's bounced back and forth between extended spring training and the disabled list.

11. David Phelps
AAA - 85.1 IP, 92 H, 22 BB, 74 K, 3.38 ERA, 3.75 FIP

Phelps reminds me of a poor man's Mike Mussina, and I would've loved to see him get a shot when Colon went down. He's injured now, and the severity is somewhat in question.

10. Austin Romine
AA - .293/.352/.396, 4 HR, 2 SB, 21 BB, 34 K

His walks are up, his strikeouts are down, and his defense has improved ... but his power has dropped significantly, and he's repeating a level. I'm still not sure what to make of Romine.

09. Hector Noesi
AAA - 20.2 IP, 25 H, 9 BB, 11 K, 3.92 ERA, 3.73 FIP
MLB - 25.1 IP, 26 H, 8 BB, 14 K, 3.20 ERA, 3.94 FIP

I won't go so far as to say that he was completely wasted in the bullpen, but I'll be happier when he's finding consistent innings. His big league performance was very up and down, and his stuff has looked flat throughout 2011.

08. Slade Heathcott
A - .271/.342/.419, 4 HR, 6 SB, 19 BB, 57 K
A+ - .600/.600/1.200, 1 HR, 0 SB, 0 BB, 1 K

A season-ending shoulder injury derailed a very solid season from Heathcott. This will be his second shoulder surgery since the end of the 2010 season, and he's unlikely to be back this year.

07. Graham Stoneburner
R - 14.1 IP, 12 H, 3 BB, 10 K, 3.77 ERA, 2.85 FIP
AA - 16.0 IP, 15 H, 4 BB, 7 K, 1.69 ERA, 3.26 FIP

Another injury casualty, Stoneburner has been solid thus far in 2011 (though his strikeouts are a bit down).

06. Adam Warren
AAA - 104.0 IP, 98 H, 38 BB, 67 K, 3.20 ERA, 3.91 FIP

Warren's been exposed a bit as a one-pitch pitcher in Triple-A, but he's held his own for the most part, getting more grounders to make up for the lack of strikeouts.

05. Gary Sanchez
A - .245/.331/.431, 9 HR, 2 SB, 28 BB, 68 K

Sanchez has clawed his way back to respectability after a horrendous start, coupled with a demotion and benching for insubordination (including refusing to pinch hit and catch bullpen sessions). He's still a teenager, and he's still showing a great batting eye and nice power.

04. Andrew Brackman
AAA - 65.1 IP, 67 H, 52 BB, 53 K, 7.71 ERA, 6.22 FIP

Brackman's been nothing short of terrible thus far - he can't locate any pitches, his velocity is all over the place, and he's completely lost his mechanics. A demotion may be in order ... but it seems as if 2010 may have been the outlier.

03. Dellin Betances
AA - 75.2 IP, 54 H, 40 BB, 86 K, 2.62 ERA, 3.69 FIP

His hit suppression is fantastic, and he's picking up a great deal of swings and misses. Walks remain an issue, but the Yankees can live with that if he continues to pick up strikeouts and keep the ball on the ground.

02. Manny Banuelos
AA - 79.0 IP, 78 H, 40 BB, 80 K, 3.53 ERA, 3.87 FIP

Banuelos was struggling against righties earlier in the year, and the majority of his walks have come against opposite handed hitters. He's turned it around of late, and his uptick in velocity from 2010 has carried over.

01. Jesus Montero
AAA - .289/.346/.418, 7 HR, 0 SB, 33 BB, 62 K

Montero's power has disappeared, he's walking less, striking out more, and he's supposedly had some run-ins with management. He's also dealt with various ailments. I'm not quite sure what to make of his first half, but I can't help but feel that his luster is wearing off a bit.

Part 1: 25 - 16
Part 2: 15 - 6
Part 3: 5 - 1

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